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Grupo Televisa (TV): Fiber Turnaround Meets Forced Dilution

Published September 22, 202620 min read·TickerFile Research · Grupo Televisa (TV)
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Grupo Televisa is no longer a Spanish-language media house. It is a Mexican cable and satellite operator whose three-year cost and fiber overhaul is starting to show in the subscriber mix, while the residual media story sits in a large, uncontrolled stake in TelevisaUnivision. The second-quarter print tests whether that telecom repair is real enough to offset a collapsing satellite franchise. A mandatory convertible priced in June hands nearly a fifth of the company to new holders at conversion. That tension, not the headline revenue decline, is the investment case.

Operating profit rose even as sales slipped, because residential broadband finally grew and expenses kept falling. Operating segment income climbed five percent and the margin reached forty two percent, the best profitability in three years on management's telling. Satellite revenue still dropped twenty percent as the RGU base shrank by more than a quarter. Equity income from TelevisaUnivision collapsed versus a year-ago comparison that included a stake-increase gain. That swing produced a net loss for stockholders after a year-ago profit.

Broadband subscribers grew for a fifth straight quarter and churn stayed under two percent. Fiber now covers about sixty percent of a twenty million home network after more than one and a half million upgrades in the quarter. Rating agencies still cut the credit in May and June, and the convertible sits in equity awaiting conversion next June. The open question is whether residential growth and fiber coverage can re-rate a cheap telecom stub before dilution and satellite runoff recapture the cash.