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TE Connectivity (TEL): Data and Power Demand Rewire the Mix

Published September 22, 202616 min read·TickerFile Research · TE Connectivity (TEL)
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TE Connectivity is no longer best understood as an automotive connector franchise that happens to sell elsewhere. The fiscal third quarter that ended in late June showed Industrial Solutions matching Transportation in sales, with Digital Data Networks and Energy carrying the growth while auto content merely offset weak vehicle production. Management framed the print as evidence that the Investor Day model, built around the proliferation of data and power, is running ahead of plan. The market still prices the equity as if the old mix still dominates.

Record orders and a book-to-bill above one give the backlog a longer tail into the next fiscal year than a single beat would imply. Adjusted earnings rose faster than sales, and free cash generation funded both capacity and a large capital return. The counterargument is that Amphenol already captures more of the artificial-intelligence interconnect narrative and commands a much richer multiple, while TE still depends on China auto exports and a copper-inside-the-rack thesis that optics could eventually challenge. Medical and sensors remain the soft spots that keep the industrial story from looking perfectly clean.

Sales reached $5.16 billion and adjusted earnings hit $2.94. Guidance for the September quarter points to another double-digit advance, and the agreed purchase of Astrodyne TDI extends the power stack. The question the next several quarters resolve is whether Digital Data Networks converts its order surge into sequential revenue without giving back Transportation margins.