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D-Wave Quantum (QBTS): Backlog Builds While Revenue Waits for Systems

Published September 20, 202618 min read·TickerFile Research · D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
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D-Wave Quantum is trying to turn a dual-platform hardware story into recognized commercial demand after closing the Quantum Circuits purchase. The June quarter left that conversion unfinished. Recurring cloud access and professional services grew, yet reported sales stayed roughly flat because a large on-premises system sale still sits in backlog rather than on the income statement. The equity debate is no longer whether annealing has named customers. It is whether those customers, plus a newly acquired gate-model stack, produce revenue fast enough to justify a multi-billion capitalization on a still-tiny run rate.

First-half bookings reached $36 million, including a $20 million Florida Atlantic University system that has not yet shipped as revenue. Remaining performance obligations climbed to $41 million. Commercial accounts supplied most of the quarter's mix, and production applications now generate a larger share of quantum-computing-as-a-service billings than a year earlier. Against that, operating expenses nearly doubled and the adjusted earnings-before-interest-tax-depreciation-and-amortization loss widened. Cash and marketable securities still total $546 million after the cash leg of Quantum Circuits, so runway is not the immediate issue. Conversion of contracted work is.

The Commerce Department later signed a definitive CHIPS and Science Act award of up to $100 million in exchange for a minority equity stake, and the long-serving finance chief retired into an acting successor. Those events sit on top of a print that already asked whether fourth-quarter system shipments close the gap between orders and sales. The next several quarters decide whether the Florida Atlantic machine, the AT&T-class cloud work, and the first dual-rail gate-model box arrive before the expanded cost base forces another trip to the equity window.