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Open Text (OTEX): New Chief Trades Margin for Cloud Growth

Published September 19, 202616 min read·TickerFile Research · Open Text (OTEX)
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Open Text enters fiscal 2027 with a new chief executive and a deliberate decision to spend margin in order to prove the leftover core can grow on its own. Ayman Antoun, the former IBM Americas president who took the chair in April, used the June-year close to brand the next twelve months a foundation year: hire quota-carrying sellers, lean harder on partners, and put more product effort into Content, the business network, IT operations, and enterprise security. The equity is no longer being asked to underwrite another large software purchase. It is being asked to accept a thinner earnings year so that organic cloud growth can finally replace the old acquisition treadmill.

That wager sits on top of an awkward mix. Cloud services kept a twenty-two-quarter organic streak and enterprise cloud bookings jumped in the June quarter, yet annual recurring revenue, the sum of cloud and customer support, barely moved because support continues to recede as customers leave perpetual maintenance. License revenue spiked and padded the headline, which is useful cash and a poor substitute for durable subscription growth. Core cloud grew roughly twice as fast as total cloud, which is the cleanest evidence that the four kept franchises still have demand after eDOCS and Vertica left the building.

The cash engine remains the reason the stock still has a bid. Fiscal 2026 produced more than $800 million of free cash flow, paid down hundreds of millions of Micro Focus-era debt, and still funded a higher dividend plus a six-percent share shrink. Management now guides a lower adjusted earnings-before-interest-tax-depreciation-and-amortization margin and a smaller free-cash-flow range as it funds the sales build. The open question is whether those hires convert bookings into recurring revenue before the support book and the non-core leftover erase the gain.